Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.446616 2.813026 3.218997 3.702743 4.264252 4.896428 5.663452
2025-05-25 1.812612 2.279483 2.847723 3.592768 4.547696 5.735636 7.333420
2025-06-01 1.530032 2.044540 2.712096 3.646806 4.930062 6.641911 9.118469
2025-06-08 1.346737 1.890450 2.633573 3.731699 5.327320 7.583070 11.052104
2025-06-15 1.186598 1.736882 2.523102 3.739889 5.596635 8.357157 12.835316
2025-06-22 1.036458 1.573490 2.371096 3.656660 5.704970 8.889474 14.307617
2025-06-29 0.921716 1.446311 2.253345 3.603191 5.840766 9.465588 15.911077
2025-07-06 0.821242 1.327963 2.132896 3.525650 5.919877 9.948511 17.411285
2025-07-13 0.785408 1.308373 2.165958 3.700783 6.436990 11.219917 20.453567
2025-07-20 0.721546 1.234340 2.099512 3.695592 6.635839 11.955743 22.619008
2025-07-27 0.684606 1.201917 2.099340 3.804951 7.050123 13.125394 25.765484
2025-08-03 0.646107 1.162273 2.081443 3.878158 7.402809 14.218517 28.912900
2025-08-10 0.596140 1.102830 2.032742 3.910482 7.727158 15.391376 32.617941
2025-08-17 0.531596 1.010249 1.914591 3.798982 7.763406 16.022487 35.359042
2025-08-24 0.495234 0.966758 1.883874 3.856099 8.151800 17.440058 40.106680
2025-08-31 0.466437 0.934425 1.870555 3.946179 8.622376 19.107471 45.758000
2025-09-07 0.432762 0.888004 1.822655 3.954869 8.912588 20.414335 50.792592
2025-09-14 0.394144 0.826729 1.736337 3.866563 8.966208 21.177023 54.601375
2025-09-21 0.362474 0.776683 1.668111 3.809835 9.085316 22.114935 59.058864
2025-09-28 0.332188 0.726286 1.593294 3.727575 9.129532 22.872906 63.180361
2025-10-05 0.324265 0.724998 1.628417 3.913376 9.875104 25.555407 73.328806
2025-10-12 0.303769 0.692599 1.588169 3.907869 10.124628 26.964012 80.035247
2025-10-19 0.292702 0.681041 1.595593 4.023904 10.716348 29.411501 90.466362